FAQ
Straight answers about the service. Still stuck? Hit the contact page.
Who are you nerds?
We’re a bunch of data scientists and engineers who use machine learning and artificial intelligence to project who will score first, and how they’ll do it, for every NBA and WNBA regular season and playoff game — plus who’ll go deep and whether the first inning scores for every MLB game, and who finds the end zone or the back of the net for every NFL and NHL game. Slam Dunk Bets has been at this since 2020; more on the About page.
How much does it cost?
$19.99 a week, $49.99 a month, or $499.99 a year, and every plan starts with a 30-day free trial. Prices are the same whether you subscribe through Sharpduel, our preferred partner, or Whop. Details on the Subscribe page.
How do I get the picks?
Subscribe through Sharpduel or Whop and you get access to our Discord server, where plays post automatically all day with recommended unit sizes, plus the Slam Dunk Dashboard at app.slamdunk.bet, where you sign in with Discord or Google and see every edge, every book’s price, and the full graded record.
What props do you project?
Here’s the current list, but we’re always adding more when new props become available! Each market has its own page with the track record by season: NBA picks, WNBA picks and MLB picks. NFL picks and NHL picks are new this season, so their records are still being graded.
For NBA:
- first basket (points and field goals)
- first basket exact method
- first basket by team
- first basket by team exact method
- win tipoff
- player to not score first basket
- team to score first
- team to score first exact method
- first assist
- first block
- first rebound
- first steal
For WNBA:
- first basket (points and field goals)
- first basket exact method
- first basket by team
- team to score first
For MLB:
- home runs (by batter)
- no runs first inning (NRFI) / yes runs first inning (YRFI)
For NFL:
- anytime touchdown scorer
- first touchdown scorer
For NHL:
- first goal scorer
- anytime goal scorer
Any notable first basket props you don’t project?
We don’t do first basket of second half yet. And we also don’t project for games in the future (i.e. games for tomorrow). None of this is set in stone, and we do try to keep up with new props as they become available!
Do you track your bets?
We track every bet we recommend and update our ROI totals by market every day on our Discord. Our programmatically tracked betting records go back to the 2021-22 NBA season, and the season-to-date record for every market is always visible in the Dashboard.
What kind of ROI are we talking about then?
We’ve cleared 8,000+ net units across our tracked NBA, WNBA and MLB picks since 2021-22. Unit sizes vary from bettor to bettor, but common units are $100, $10, or $1. Season by season, regular season plus playoffs, with ROI measured on units staked:
- 2025-26 NBA: +2,135 units (16.3% ROI)
- 2024-25 NBA: +1,018 units (8.2% ROI)
- 2023-24 NBA: +1,692 units (11.8% ROI)
- 2022-23 NBA: +1,610 units*
- 2021-22 NBA: +572 units (17.1% ROI)**
- 2026 WNBA: +443 units (12.2% ROI), regular season and playoffs through October 4
- 2025 WNBA: +529 units (17.0% ROI)
- 2024 WNBA: +418 units (21.6% ROI)
- 2026 MLB, since baseball launched on July 16: home runs +142 units (5.3% ROI) and NRFI/YRFI +20 units (3.3% ROI). Stolen bases and batter props started in September and are too new to read anything into.
These are the standardized-unit totals from our graded ledgers as of October 5, 2026. The live record for every market is in the Dashboard.
* reflects a different application of kelly criterion than we used moving forward, i.e. a smaller kelly factor.
** our first tracked season, bet at flat stakes before we introduced Kelly sizing.
Whoa that’s a LOT, like an order of magnitude better than other handicappers. You got receipts?
Yep and we update them every day, automatically. Season recaps with the full charts are in the Articles, most recently the 2025-26 NBA recap and the 2026 WNBA recap.
Is this legal where I live?
Slam Dunk Bets is an information service: we publish projections and picks, we don’t take bets or hold anyone’s money. You have to be 21 or older (or the legal betting age where you live), and it’s on you to follow the laws of your state or country when you place a bet. If gambling stops being fun, the National Problem Gambling Helpline is 1-800-GAMBLER.
Where do you get your data?
We wrote about it in this blog post where we describe the data we use to predict first baskets, and in the home run series for MLB.
What kinds of models we talking about here?
Well hey we wrote about our models in this blog post for first baskets and this one for home runs.